Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.179901 0.202702 0.226707 0.253808 0.283497 0.314975 0.350817
2025-05-04 0.149650 0.180485 0.214708 0.255316 0.301986 0.353739 0.415258
2025-05-11 0.129990 0.166296 0.208458 0.260619 0.322974 0.394669 0.482850
2025-05-18 0.115805 0.156203 0.205038 0.267697 0.345174 0.437018 0.553232
2025-05-25 0.100565 0.142734 0.195698 0.266013 0.355710 0.465035 0.606942
2025-06-01 0.088646 0.131965 0.188337 0.265547 0.366843 0.493393 0.661387
2025-06-08 0.078566 0.122407 0.181408 0.264601 0.376604 0.519714 0.713573
2025-06-15 0.072303 0.117364 0.179850 0.270244 0.394712 0.556863 0.780344
2025-06-22 0.065159 0.110250 0.174684 0.270296 0.404886 0.583561 0.833955
2025-06-29 0.058873 0.103721 0.169696 0.269997 0.414162 0.608954 0.886193
2025-07-06 0.053351 0.097774 0.164990 0.269576 0.422903 0.633541 0.937697
2025-07-13 0.049363 0.093844 0.162913 0.272683 0.436510 0.664945 0.999077
2025-07-20 0.046535 0.091673 0.163536 0.280079 0.456981 0.707119 1.077425
2025-07-27 0.042686 0.087386 0.160484 0.281596 0.468733 0.737233 1.139719
2025-08-03 0.040064 0.084962 0.160194 0.287273 0.486777 0.776753 1.216252
2025-08-10 0.038045 0.083406 0.161169 0.294897 0.507933 0.821271 1.300968
2025-08-17 0.034528 0.078710 0.156493 0.293055 0.514284 0.844095 1.354789
2025-08-24 0.031585 0.074785 0.152813 0.292539 0.522515 0.869745 1.413164
2025-08-31 0.028850 0.070965 0.149006 0.291509 0.529733 0.893896 1.469723
2025-09-07 0.027392 0.069575 0.149428 0.297612 0.548520 0.935964 1.553764
2025-09-14 0.025230 0.066479 0.146481 0.297665 0.557340 0.962854 1.615503
2025-09-21 0.023212 0.063466 0.143448 0.297341 0.565406 0.988646 1.676010
2025-09-28 0.021357 0.060596 0.140464 0.296885 0.573127 1.013964 1.736208